Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.001700 0.001772 0.001846 0.001928 0.002018 0.002114 0.002223
2025-07-13 0.001538 0.001634 0.001737 0.001857 0.001994 0.002146 0.002331
2025-07-20 0.001455 0.001570 0.001696 0.001849 0.002030 0.002241 0.002510
2025-07-27 0.001402 0.001532 0.001679 0.001861 0.002084 0.002355 0.002720
2025-08-03 0.001346 0.001484 0.001644 0.001847 0.002103 0.002425 0.002877
2025-08-10 0.001313 0.001461 0.001635 0.001862 0.002155 0.002538 0.003102
2025-08-17 0.001273 0.001426 0.001610 0.001852 0.002173 0.002605 0.003268
2025-08-24 0.001233 0.001389 0.001579 0.001832 0.002176 0.002649 0.003404
2025-08-31 0.001222 0.001387 0.001590 0.001867 0.002253 0.002804 0.003732
2025-09-07 0.001200 0.001370 0.001581 0.001874 0.002291 0.002905 0.003987
2025-09-14 0.001169 0.001340 0.001554 0.001855 0.002289 0.002943 0.004138
2025-09-21 0.001137 0.001307 0.001522 0.001827 0.002273 0.002956 0.004244
2025-09-28 0.001112 0.001283 0.001502 0.001816 0.002281 0.003011 0.004446
2025-10-05 0.001069 0.001236 0.001448 0.001754 0.002211 0.002932 0.004367
2025-10-12 0.001050 0.001218 0.001434 0.001748 0.002224 0.002993 0.004591
2025-10-19 0.001038 0.001209 0.001432 0.001759 0.002264 0.003104 0.004946
2025-10-26 0.001018 0.001190 0.001414 0.001747 0.002267 0.003150 0.005164
2025-11-02 0.001009 0.001183 0.001414 0.001760 0.002310 0.003273 0.005605
2025-11-09 0.000992 0.001167 0.001400 0.001751 0.002317 0.003328 0.005886
2025-11-16 0.000974 0.001148 0.001380 0.001733 0.002309 0.003353 0.006091
2025-11-23 0.000972 0.001151 0.001392 0.001765 0.002384 0.003553 0.006900
2025-11-30 0.000963 0.001144 0.001389 0.001771 0.002418 0.003671 0.007512
2025-12-07 0.000947 0.001126 0.001371 0.001754 0.002407 0.003694 0.007795